conflict analysis

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(Kimberly Faye photo.)

A Washington Post project explores how big America’s intelligence community has become after 9-11. Deseret News summarizes:

“[T]he Post said there are now more than 1,200 government organizations and more than 1,900 private companies working on counterterrorism, homeland security and intelligence in some 10,000 locations across the U.S. Some 854,000 people — or nearly 1 1/2 times the number of people who live in Washington, D.C. — have top-secret security clearance…”

In a blog entry on the WaPo site, reporter Dana Priest asks, why do we need so many people to catch at most a couple of thousand Al Queda members?

That’s a valid question. The answer appears to be one of culture rather than mission. The Powers That Be like having access to that much information. Information is power, and power is good for the powerful to have.

That’s an oversimplification, so here’s an except from my comment on her post:

My first rule of conflict analysis has never failed me: “It’s never about what they say it’s about.” And the second is pretty reliable, too: there is usually a hidden enemy that is different than the public enemy. Al Queda’s fight is not really with the U.S.– its goals are much closer to home. Likewise the Powers That Be in the U.S. are interested primarily in more power, not Al Queda. Information is power, and they have an increasing amount of it…  I suspect that, ultimately, the enemy our government seeks to control is us.

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100205-F-2616H-012 by Kenny Holston 21.
(Kenny Holsten photo.)

Will the massive volume of leaked documents that WikiLeaks is now making available change the course of the Afghanistan War?  That depends on who you read.  The Wall Street Journal has the Obama administration on the defensive, while Washington Post headlines that change is unlikely.  From the WaPo article:

“New evidence that the war effort is plagued by unreliable Afghan and Pakistani partners seems unlikely to undermine fragile congressional support or force the Obama administration to shift strategy.”

In other words, what the voters think doesn’t matter anyway.

Deseret News reports that more Afghanistan War documents are in the pipeline.

Despite a Pentagon opinion that nothing in the documents threatened national security, WaPo says that both Dems and GOPs in Congress called on the military to plug the leak.  Christian Science Monitor describes a dual message: the documents are “old news” and therefore irrelevant, while at the same time releasing them was “irresponsible” because it is a violation of national security.

CSM said that the leak “generated more anger in Congress at WikiLeaks than at the war effort.” After all, we can’t have those pesky voters being too well informed!

generated more anger in Congress at WikiLeaks than at the war effort.

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Melophores by dynamosquito.
(Dynamosquito image.)

Earlier this week, the host of KUER’s “Radio West” interviewed Robert Baer, former CIA field officer, about Iran.  Baer’s view: our country doesn’t really understand what makes Iran tick.  They are not religious fanatics, they are a military dictatorship bent on one thing only: security.  That means (to them) dominating the Persian Gulf region and having more control over the price of oil, which is their main source of income.

Becausde we don’t understand them, the Iranians are largely outmaneuvering us politically.  Iran is a regional superpower, and they’re playing us to get what they want.  And sanctions won;t work, because they don’t think in terms of short-term results.

One of my principles of conflict analysis is that to understand why a participant does what they do, we have to know what they want.  This interview is worth a listen.

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(Amos Paul Kennedy Jr. image via Detritus .)

“If we were to take an honest look at America’s blasted landscape of “losers” and the far shinier, spiffier world of “winners,” we’d have to admit that it wasn’t signs of onrushing socialism or fascism that stood out, but of staggeringly self-aggrandizing greed and theft right in the here and now. We’d notice our public coffers being emptied to benefit major corporations and financial institutions working in close alliance with, and passing on remarkable sums of money to, the representatives of “the people.” We’d see, in a word, kleptocracy on a scale to dazzle. We would suddenly see an almost magical disappearing act being performed, largely without comment, right before our eyes.”

So writes William J. Astore for Truthout. Astore, a history teacher and retired USAF Lt. Colonel, argues that Socialism and Fascism are the red herrings of our current system of government– which, far from being a democracy, is all about transfer of wealth from us to corporations.

Perhaps this sounds familiar: I wrote something very similar a few weeks back. It’s encouraging to see that I’m not alone.  Once again: the Left-Right conflict that dominates the media is a sideshow.  The real game is keeping us busy while they loot the Treasury.

The real enemy is not “cookie cutter conservatives” or Obama-loving socialists.”  Its the small but powerful class of corporations and their executives who are grabbing it all while we focus on hating each other.

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