
(Esther G photo.)
“I am saddened that the yearlong debate on health reform has resulted in legislation that is too expensive, contains too many special deals, does not contain health care costs and will result in increases in health insurance premiums. Therefore I will vote against the legislation.” –Rep. Jim Matheson (D-UT)
In an interview with Deseret News, Matheson called the health care bill “the wrong kind of reform — reform which increases health care costs [and will] leave our nation worse off.”
The same article quotes a National Republican Congressional Committee representative decribing the bill as “higher taxes, higher health premiums and Medicare cuts for America’s struggling middle-class families.”
So what exactly is in the bill? Now that the votes are about to be cast and there’s no time to argue, there’s finally a text available. Let’s see who it helps and who it hurts. It’s called, by the way, the Health Care and Education Affordability Reconciliation Act, which I will hereinafter refer to as “HCEARA.” That has a nice ring to it.
Whoops– you can’t tell what’s in the bill by looking at the bill, because it is entirely made up of changes to the Patient Protection and Reliable Care Act (“PPRC”), which in turn begins with amendments to the Public Health Service Act. It’s hard enough to read a bill– how about having to read two or three of them side by side? That’s obfuscation!
But let’s give it a try…
PPRC says an insurance company can’t implement lifetime limits on coverage, or cancel anyone for a reason other than fraud. It also says preventive care must be covered. Although it describes these changes as “immediate,” it says the Secretary will determine a date for implementation, at least one year from the date of passage.
Overall, these are good things. But they cost money, and someone will have to pay. The government isn’t directly subsidizing the additional coverage, so it’ll get passed on to us, the insureds.
So far as I can see, there’s nothing in this bill that prevents premiums from rising. (But see PPRC Sec. 1302– the government does pay insurance companies for the cost of reducing out-of-pocket maximums for families at 400% of poverty or lower.)
There is a refundable tax credit in PPRA Sec. 1410, amended by PPRC Sec. 10105 and by HCEARA Sec. 1001 (are you following this?). It allows a portion of premiums to be reimbursed by the government if the total premiums exceed a percentage of income. Up to 133% of the poverty level (currently $22,050 for a family of four), any amount over 2% gets refunded. So if that family pays more than $586 per year (and that’s a no brainer), they’ll get a refund of the excess. The percentages are higher for higher incomes, so a family of four earning $88K would get reimburse for amounts over $8,.379 per year.
BUT, if the total refunds exceed a certain percentage of GDP, then the reimbursements will be reduced. So, if prices get too high, well, you’re SOL.
And yes, PPRC Sec. 5000A (amended by PPRA 10106 and HCEARA Sec. 1002 says we will be penalized up to $695 per year after 2015 if we fail to maintain minimum coverage.
Who pays for the bill? PPRC Sec. 9010 imposes a fee, which it also calls an “excise tax,” starting in 2010, on large health insurers. This suggests that the fee is to be collected from the insured. The calculation for this fee is absurdly complicated, but here’s an example as best I can understand it.
Humana writes $31 billion in gross income and net income of $1 billion, and has roughly 11 million insureds out of a pool of 255 million. So it would have to pay an excise tax of 4.3% or $430 million each year. Humana currently has a profit margin of 3.4%, so if it doesn’t raise premiums, the excise tax would reduce that margin to 2.3%.
As an investor, I compare that 2.3% with the 2.35% APR I can get at my bank, and I’m not buying any Humana stock. Add the additional mandatory coverage and Humana has to raise premiums significantly just to stay alive.
There are also excise taxes on high-cost insurance plans and medical device manufacturers. Those costs, too, will be passed on to the insureds.
Okay, I’ve spent three hours going through these few sections, and I have a headache. What else is in the bill? Who knows? Factcheck.org says both sides are lying through their teeth about the bill and its effects, and even CBO admits they don’t fully understand it. Once again, we’re asked to accept it sight unseen– or at least undigested and poorly understood.
Thanks, Rep. Matheson, for sticking to your principles and voting against it. You’ve still got my vote!
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